South Asia is likely to see a weak June-to-September monsoon season, according to a regional climate forum that concluded its fifth session in Pune on Wednesday.
Below-normal rainfall would be bad news for agriculture in a region that’s heavily dependent on the monsoon to water its crops.
Below-average rainfall is likely over broad areas of western, central and south-western parts of the region and some areas in the northeastern parts, according to the South Asian Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF).
Rainfall is likely to be normal over areas of the north-western and eastern parts and some islands, said the forum, which covers Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, the Maldives, Myanmar, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka.
Last year, it had forecast a normal to higher-than-normal rainfall in South Asia. The actual precipitation was above normal in the region in lines with the forecast.
In its latest outlook, the forum highlighted that none of the regions in South Asia are likely to receive higher-than-normal rainfall this year. The forum also recognized the potential for the adverse impact of the El Nino weather phenomenon on the monsoon.